Welcome to Nonrival, the newsletter where readers make predictions about business, tech, and politics.


How it works

  1. Read the newsletter. Get concise analysis about the future of business, tech, and politics from an editor with a decade's experience at Harvard Business Review, Quartz, and elsewhere.​

  2. Make a prediction. Put your opinions to the test by making a forecast straight from the newsletter—with just one click.

  3. Keep score. See how your predictions turn out, get points for accuracy, learn from other readers, and improve your thinking over time.


"Objective evidence and certitude are doubtless very fine ideals to play with, but where on this moonlit and dream-visited planet are they found?"

William James, The Will to Believe, 1896

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The first-ever email-based forecasting tournament. Ran from August 2022 until May 2024. No longer publishing.

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Founder of Nonrival, the newsletter where readers make predictions about business, tech, and politics. Freelance editor & writer. Contributing editor at Harvard Business Review, former executive editor at Quartz.